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Assuring Forex Success With Fibonacci Mathematical Modeling

Todays Date: December 11, 2018

Leonardo of Pisa, better known to us today as Fibonacci first introduced what we call the Fibonacci sequence to the west in his 1202 book Liber Abaci (the sequence was already known in Indian mathematics). He stumbled upon this sequence while attempting to estimate how many rabbits he would be able to breed in one year based on his knowledge of their breeding habits. This mathematical model is used by Forex traders today.

Mistakenly many individuals consider mathematical abstraction as frivolous; however it is rooted into real world mathematical applications. The Fibonacci sequence is useful for making us aware of and then explaining those hidden patterns around us daily.

It works really well while investing. Why? Well, based on the mass behavior of investors there are various hidden patterns in the stock market. Perceptive investors know this. Investment aphorisms such as “The best time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets” and “Buy low and sell high” work well. However, they also relate to understanding the investment markets hidden patterns.

Hidden patterns of investment marketing cannot be seen up close. There is no accurate sense in trying to predict the hourly or daily fluctuations of investment markets. However, overall extended trends very well can be. Increased profits are taken advantage of when investors and Forex traders confidently use the number sequence of Fibonacci to reach their gains.

The Fibonacci sequence is a string of numbers with each number being the sum of the two numbers which preceded it. For example, one such string would be 1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21 and so on. These numbers are related in several ways. Any given number in a Fibonacci sequence is about 1.618 of its predecessor – the “golden ratio” of the Greek mathematicians.

Of all the Fibonacci series the two applications in wide spread use by Forex traders and investors are arcs and retracements.

A Fibonacci chart is made of three curved lines which represent support levels, key resistance and ranging. A trendline is first drawn between two points (generally the high and low points over a given period of time). Three curved lines are then drawn which intersect the trendline at the 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% points. Decisions about buying and selling are made at these points (i.e. – when the price of the commodity in question reaches these points).

Now, a retracement, in investing, refers to a reversal in the movement of a stock’s price–a reversal which is enough to counter the stock’s prevailing trend. Advanced successful investors pay intense attention to retracement possibilities and patterns. The Fibonacci retracement analyzes the likelihood that a financial asset’s price will see a larger than average retracement and then come to support or resistance at the key Fibonacci levels before it then continues on in its original direction. A trendline is drawn between two extreme points; then, its vertical distance is divided by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%.

Traders use Fibonacci retracements to determine strategic points for placing their transactions, target prices and stop-loss points. There are other tools which use retracement techniques, chief among them Elliott Wave Theory, Gartley patterns and Tirone levels.

The Fibonacci formula simply works and is useful while investing. Forex traders worldwide are finding it successful while using it.

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