Posts Tagged ‘commodities’

EUR/USD Currency Pair

January 12th, 2019 Comments off

EUR/USD is the most liquid and the most popular currency pair among the forex traders. Trading currencies can be exciting and lucrative. Its a great market because of the way politics affect the trends. Elections, strikes, and sudden developments, both good and bad, can lead to significant trading profits if you stand ready to trade the euro is a convenient currency because it encompasses the policies and the economic activity and political environment of a volatile but predictable part of the world: Europe. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the global currency markets at the moment.

In the United States, where the free-market approach and a usually vigilant Federal Reserve make more frequent adjustments on interest rates. France, Italy, and Germany, the largest members of the European Union (EU), normally operate under high budget deficits and tend to keep their interest rates more stable.

Fed changes its interest rates frequently keeping in view its inflation and unemployment targets. The general tendency of the Fed is to make the dollar trend for very long periods of time in one general direction. Here are some general tendencies of the EUR/USD currency pair on which you need to keep tabs aside from the technical analysis:

1) Given Germanys history of hyperinflation in the first half of the 20th century and the repercussions of that period, namely the rise of Hitler, the European Central Bank (ECB) is almost fanatical about inflation. That means that the European Central Bank raises interest rates more easily than it lowers them.

– The European Central Banks actions become important when all other factors are equal, meaning politics are equally stable or unstable in the United States and Europe, and the two economies are growing. For example, if the U.S. economy is slowing down, money slowly starts to drift away from the dollar. In the past that meant money would move toward the Japanese yen; however, because the market knows that Japans central bank will sell yen, the default currency when the dollar weakens is often now the euro.

– The flip side is that the market often sells the euro during political problems in the region, especially when the European economy is slowing and the economy in the United Kingdom (UK), which often moves along with the U.S. economy, is showing signs of strength.

As a word of caution, its okay to form an opinion and have some expectations, but the final and only truth that should make you trade is what the charts are showing you. As usual, you want to closely monitor major currencies and the cross rates. The direction that counts is the one in which the market is heading.

It is always best to choose only two or three currency pairs and become a specialist in them. Two currency pairs that I would recommend for you are the EUR/USD and the GBP/USD. Both these currency pairs are highly liquid and very popular among the currency traders. Fundamental analysis can help you determine the strong/weak currency pair. Use fundamental analysis to determine if USD is expected to lose value and EUR is expected to gain more strength that means that the currency pair EUR/USD is perfectly timed for swing trading. Use technical analysis to make the entry and exit decision. Combining fundamental analysis with the technical analysis can give you the edge as a forex trader. Sometimes there is a fundamental shift in the direction of a currency pair. As long as you are not following a currency pair like EUR/USD on the daily basis, you wont be able to understand what is happening.

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Why Learning to Trade Commodities Could Boost Your Commodity Trading Results

April 20th, 2018 Comments off

Your decision to start learning to trade commodities will give you a completely new insight into the whole world of commodity futures trading. This could be within a specific sector such as grains or precious metals or perhaps across the whole spectrum of global commodity markets. Now doubt you have heard concerns about energy security and the crude oil trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange, and of how the price fluctuations can be caused by a whole range of factors. And what causes price movements in gold, silver and other precious metals and why should cocoa or coffee futures prices suddenly surge?

If you want to achieve success in these markets, you first need to find a very good commodities trading provider. So how will you go about learning to trade commodities? What are the key knowledge areas of trading if you want to move ahead in commodity markets? Look out for locations where commodity trading training courses are available. It is more than likely you will have a choice to either attend lessons at your chosen location or study from home using an online training program .

What are the advantages of attending a commodity trading school? There is face to face contact with tutors and opportunities for one to one coaching. The coaches may either have their knowledge from courses or they have perhaps trade the commodity markets and so have real live trading experience, which is a valuable asset to have in a coach. When you learn to trade commodities in a classroom you can network with like”minded colleagues, sharing ideas with colleagues.

While on location you benefit from watching “live” trades executed by your tutors, who can give you feedback about the price action. It is arguably better to understand a technique when you observe it happening in real time, rather than in theory. Here you get a sharp edge to your learning curve in commodity trading, and the coaches can offer you help as you tailor your personal commodities trading plan. The expansion of global trading centres means that you are likely to find a training centre close to your home, such as in Dubai, Singapore, London, Toronto, as well in US cities like Philadelphia, New York, Milwaukee, Dallas and Chicago.

Let’s look at the alternative of training courses for commodity trading online. What are the benfefits here? If your commitments mean you cannot get to a centre when the courses run or you live too far from the location, the online version is ideal. When you take up this option you have maximum flexibility and you cover both technical and fundamental aspects of trading.

The online commodities trading packages most likely provide students with e mail support from the tutors along with resources like charts, blogs, forums and video to supplement the main material. Along with CDs and DVDs software may also be downloaded so students can link up with the markets and trade without committing capital.

So you are about to start learning to trade commodities. What will be covered? Broadly speaking, courses focus on fundamental analysis, that is supply and demand for commodities and how these are affected by inflation and in the case of crops, weather patterns. Traders also use technical analysis to compliment the former approach. This includes looking at commodity charts for price action, using techniques like Fibonacci numbers, Japanese candlesticks, moving averages, volume and support and resistance lines.

You will also see how easy electronic trading of commodities can be and you will learn what a futures contract is and how to place orders, set your commodity futures margin, along with an appreciation of why market participants hedge their positions. Then there is the matter of managing risk and minimising losses of capital in what are leveraged instruments. And when you start learning to trade commodities you will certainly cover the important role played by psychology when you have to stick to your commodity trading plan.

The author, William Davies, contributes articles for a blog on Commodities Trading, offering an educational resource for those keen to learn more about markets. Discover how you could begin learning to trade commodities here.

Hedging Your Bets With Financial Spread Betting

December 11th, 2017 Comments off

Many traders in the stock market have lost money, while few have made money. And no matter how easy online e-books say dabbling in this market is, it actually isn’t. Financial spread betting is another matter entirely, it is a different way of trading in stocks and shares, and online traders are able to speculate on the prices of stocks and shares without any assistance from stockbrokers.

The beauty of being able to speculate on the movement of shares and stocks without the assistance of a stockbroker is that you don’t have to pay their commissions. Basically you make a spread around live market prices and place a bet on whether the prices will drop or rise.

The word “spread” describes the sell (bid) of buy (offer) price. The price is calculated by the company offering the spread bet. Essentially they take an existing share price for example the FTSE. If the price of this stock is 4729 for example they will quote a price of 4727 – 4731. The speculator has to decide if the price will go up or down and places their bet accordingly.

To open a new position in the market a very small deposit is required, generally about dollar, euro, pound10 – 40. Each bet is on each point or tick in which the market moves, either up or down. The stake is usually 1 on each point of movement and will represent either profit or loss.

Each financial market has their own maximum stake allowed, so you bet your 1 pound, dollar or euro per tick (point), choosing a bet that the market price will increase or alternatively, drop. If your wager is correct then you win or rather make a profit which is the amount of your wager or stake multiplied by the amount in which the market moves in your favor. If you wager is incorrect you lose your stake multiplied by the amount of points the market moves in the opposite direction.

Because of this fact, the financial spread better has to understand that the market is often able to move quite substantially in the opposite direction to the wager made. This can mean a substantial loss, but by the same token, if the market moves in the direction predicted, a substantial profit can be made.

In the UK profits from spread betting are considered to be the winning of a “bet” and this makes them free of Capital Gains and Income Tax.

It is highly recommended that trader who is new to spread betting open a demo account first before signing up for a live trading account and depositing funds. The demo system will mirror exactly what happens in the live trading account and will come with a beginners guide to the system.

Being exposed to the spread betting system with no risk involved is the best way to learn all about it. Only once the trader is confident that they have the concept firmly in their grasp should they consider opening a new position in a live account. Make sure the company you choose provides a demo account and beginners guide!

Before starting in Financial Spread Betting Strategies, check out the authors review on ODL Markets Trading

The Trading Week Ahead For Day Traders And Swing Traders

December 10th, 2014 Comments off

As expected, the market ran to the top of the daily range last week, briefly pushing above S&P 1128 on Friday. Still it was a pretty quiet week with both the S&P and Nasdaq composite sitting contentedly on their respective 200 day ma’s until Friday’s gap up.

Evidently the market wanted to wait until after option expiration before it tipped its hand on the next move. The good news is that we’re in a great spot for a big move in one direction or the other. A break back under the 200 day ma (S&P 1116) could take us all the way down to the 1040 area, perhaps after a pause around 1089.

On the other hand, a move above Friday’s high (S&P 1131+) could trigger a move up to S&P 1172 or even the high for the year at around 1219. Given the weekly inverse head & shoulders in the S&P, I’d be inclined to look for the upside move.

While the S&P and Nasdaq both put in red bars on Friday, Kohl’s (KSS) managed to close green, even after running below Thursday’s low in the first 30 minutes on Friday. The strong close also put KSS above its prior daily pivot high with room above. Look for a long entry above Friday’s high (above $51). The stop could be placed under $50.35 from the 15 minute chart, or more conservatively under Friday’s low ($49.76). First target would be the 200 day ma ($51.85) and the second target would be the daily highs just over $53.

The housing sector has been struggling, but finding a clean pattern to short has been difficult. KB Home (KBH) has pulled back for several days, which could be a buy setup, but it moved below support Thursday and remained there Friday. This could set up a continuation short, with a stop over Friday’s high ($11.48) and an entry under Thursday’s low ($11.04). First target would be the bottom of the green breakout bar ($10.50) with potential for continuation down to $10 or $9.50. If KBH moves over $10.50 it could be traded to the long side as well.

As an educational and proprietary trading firm, Affinity Trading’s main focus has been to teach the art of online day trading via their 2-day courses and 5-day live trading labs. Come visit the Affinity web site today and see how you can become a professional Day Trader.

Futures Trading, Is It The Best High Yield Investment? Yes And Heres Why

January 24th, 2014 Comments off

Futures trading could be the best high yield investment your ever going to find, but trading futures with little experience by yourself or without a proven strategy is like an ill prepared soldier heading into battle with a rifle thinking to himself that its the saving grace that’s going to get him through even though he hasn’t thought about what’s going to happen next. The analogy sounds ridiculous with an obvious answer that “no one would be that dumb” but the fact is this is what most new traders do and inevitably they bring about a quick end to their new trading career. Futures have long been regarded as one of the riskiest investments in existence, and understandably so with close to 95% of new traders losing almost all of their original principal within a 6 month time frame. So let me ask you this: If people only lost money trading futures then why does anyone invest in them at all? Simple because the other 5% that know how the game is played are making a killing! So does this mean that the 5% are reaping the benefits from the losses of the other 95%? In partial yes, but whether or not money is made has little to do with new speculators. The just add more liquidity to the market by providing extra buyers and sellers that would otherwise not be there. This is similar to a liquid housing market loaded with plenty of buyers and sellers allowing for homes to be bought and sold without dramatic price changes. Hedgers and fundamentals consist of most of the movement in the market not new traders.

So now we’re left with this question: how is the other 5% making money? The answer is simple they use software and back test their trading systems for spot on execution when entering and exiting the market. The popularity of automated trading systems has grown over the last 8 years with the bulk of orders no longer being phoned in but executed on a server. But this is a small part of the big picture. You still need to find a trading system that can withstand changing market trends not just designed to trade the current market. One of the key points that decide whether a system lasts or completely flops is the fact that a computer system isn’t a person and won’t change its pattern unless you tell it to. Once the trend dries up the system runs in direct defiance of the market patterns. For this reason my personal choice is to use a trading strategy that doesn’t run contrary to the market. When the system sees the market moving hard in one direction or the other it gets in short or long accordingly. Trading futures has major advantages over traditional investments because your success isn’t affected by a recession, you can trade both directions of the market and profit when it’s losing as well as gaining.

Another widely misunderstood fact about futures is that you’re not actually investing in anything. What a futures trading strategy really is “like the one I use” is actually just an equity machine. There is no waiting period to get your capital back, your money isn’t tied up for more than a day, and you are leveraging a large volume tangible commodity or cash to your advantage. Allow me to explain: When you trade futures or forex you are trading a contract for a bulk order of currency or a commodity. The money that you have in your trading account is used as a good faith deposit just like earnest money on a house. When you initiate a buy or a sell in any of the futures markets you are using your earnest money to control that commodity or currency for a short period of time just as in the same way you have the right to buy or transfer the rights to a house you have a deposit on. When entering the market you are then hoping to take advantage of a price difference just like equity in a home and then sell back your contract for a profit. What’s nice is that unlike home equity you can take advantage of the loss of value on a futures contract, the value will also change much much faster than a home even in one day, and the market is always liquid with plenty of buyers and sellers.

Good futures traders and commodity trading advisers tend to make nice returns because they are taking advantage of an asset they don’t own for a short period of time. Now even a good trading strategy will lose once in a while, you can’t get away from that, but if you’ve found a good strategy it should make you back 2 or 3 times its average loss. When you are choosing a system take a close look at the long-term chart. You want a system that will produce a nice steady growth not one that makes insane profits but yo yo’s back and forth causing sleepless nights. Now you’re able to see how you’re not in it for the long term, you’re just pulling money out of the market on a daily basis.

This leads me to my last recommendation to those beginning in futures. If your going to begin investing in futures, the best thing to do is start by finding a good CTA (Commodity Trading Adviser) using what is called a Managed Futures Account. There are numerous CTA’s with excellent track records. Most CTA’s use an automated trading strategy that they monitor and make adjustments to on an ongoing basis. A good CTA understands the trends in the market and makes adjustments to the loss parameters according to current market conditions. He will also know how to adjust trading for your risk tolerance. A CTA has POA or “power of attorney” to Manage your futures account for you, meaning he decides which trades you make. He does not have access to the funds, they are held by a third party clearing firm for you to access anytime you want.

Are Futures extremely risky? I’ll let you decide. Most financial advisers will discourage you from futures and for very good reasons as I stated above. But when you do your homework and find a good strategy using common sense principals as I’ve discussed in this article you will have the best high yield investment you can find that performs ten fold to what your regular investment portfolio can produce, and the best part of all is that the state of the economy will have nothing to do with how well it performs.

Learn more about the best high yield investments. Stop by Eric Christensen’s site where you can find out all about high yield investment accounts and the difference it can make in your portfolio..